Friday, May 14, 2010

Good Luck

So will Saturday be lucky for Lookin At Lucky? Bob Baffert is certainly hoping so after a disappointing trip and finish (6th) in the Kentucky Derby. To change his luck, there is a new jockey on the Smart Strike colt since Garrett Gomez will be riding Dublin in the Preakness. Baffert hasn't revealed his choice but rumor has it that Martin Garcia is the leading contender.

In other lucky developments, the forecast is for clear and sunny conditions, with only a 10 percent chance of precipitation. The temperature should be in the mid seventies come race time.

Feeling lucky? Consider betting on Pleasant Prince, owned by Ken Ramsey, who says he doesn't think the horse has a great chance of finishing on the Board. "I try to be realistic. He's probably not going to be the first, second, third or fourth choices," Ramsey told Bloodhorse.com. "He's running against some very good horses, many of them more accomplished than us."

That said, Ramsey feels that jockey Julien Leparoux gives his horse "an edge," and that he thinks his horse is better at longer distances. "He has to improve, but my feeling is, if you keep putting yourself into position to get lucky, strange things can happen," he notes.

Other threats to Super Saver's potential Triple Crown include Caracortado, who finished fourth in the Santa Anita Derby and has wins over California's polytrack, Schoolyard Dreams, who finished a half length ahead of Super Saver in the Tampa Bay Derby although losing to Odysseus by a hair, Hurricane Ike and First Dude. It is shaping up to be a good and competitive race.

And just one more tidbit to factor in: 22 of the last 25 horses that won the Preakness, ran in the Derby.

Good luck!

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