Derby Doings

So Backtalk is in (post position #18)and Lookin at Lucky drew the #1 spot. As they say, very interesting....

I'm not wild about that inside post position, although according to Bloodhorse.com, it has produced the most wins in the Kentucky Derby along with the #5 post since 1900. Lookin at Lucky is also the 3 to 1 favorite.

Sidney's Candy drew the #20 post (Big Brown won from there in 2008) and was made the 5 to 1 second choice. Three horses are the 10 to 1 third choices: Ice Box (#2), Devil May Care (the filly at #11) and Awesome Act (who LOVES the slop at #16).

My other sentimental choice, Line of David, was given the odds of 30-1 and drew the #5 post--actually a decent position. I also am feeling very good about Backtalk at that 18 position. Assuming he can make it to the middle of the pack around the first turn, he might be better off coming in than being shut in along the rail.

The forecast is for showers so things may continue to change right up until race day. Edgar Prado doesn't have a mount which is surprising and Mike Smith is on the Zito trained Jackson Bend. Don't rule them out although I think you can safely throw out Homeboykris, who truly does not belong in this race.

In other words, it's beginning to look like a horse race!